A(2)
Pottery Dating
C. Dean Wilson and Eric Blinman


Appendix A(2) is adapted from an excerpt from an unpublished manuscript, Ceramic Types of the Mesa Verde Region, a handbook prepared for the Colorado Council of Professional Archaeologists Ceramic Workshop (Wilson and Blinman 1991:44-47). Portions of the manuscript, not including this excerpt, have since been published (Wilson and Blinman 1995). Wilson and Blinman continue to work on assemblage-based pottery dating, and more recent work has resulted in slight modifications of the dating periods presented in this appendix.
Mark D. Varien, Editor

The following summary of pottery chronology reflects our current knowledge of patterns of pottery change in the Mesa Verde region. The dating strategy presented here is based on the evaluation of pottery assemblages, with relatively little reliance on the concept of "diagnostic" types. Our approach relies on the examination of the entire pottery assemblage from a site or provenience for dating inferences (Blinman 1988b).

This appears to result in more consistent and accurate date estimates than either pottery attributes (such as line widths or coil heights) or statistical manipulation. Our approach is not significantly different from Colton's use of pottery periods, and we have had the opportunity to examine a large number of tree-ring dated pottery collections and a decade in which to make errors and to correct them. Please realize that pottery dating schemes will always be imperfect, and further work will surely result in modifications and changes.

What follows are descriptions of temporally distinctive pottery assemblages for the Mesa Verde region. These assemblages are idealized in that they characterize broad time periods and, since pottery change is a continuous process, no single characterization will be perfect for both the beginning and ending of a period. Also, the Mesa Verde region is not a homogeneous entity; for example, at one point in time, red ware frequencies in collections can range from 1 to 25 percent across the region. Another weakness is that there are too few recently described and well-dated pottery collections to construct a high-precision pottery chronology for the entire prehistoric occupation of the San Juan region, and many gaps have to be filled with assumptions and guesses. These gaps are decreasing in number as more excavations are completed and reported, and the weaknesses and errors in the dating scheme are continually being exposed and corrected.

The pottery dating process we advocate consists of comparing the content of a collection with the idealized content of these assemblages. The best fit on all types is the logical best date, but points of difference are the keys to determining whether or not the best date is likely to be accurate. An excess of Plain Gray sherds in a demonstrably Pueblo II survey collection is anomalous and, even in the absence of any "diagnostic" Chapin Gray sherds, the possibility of an underlying Basketmaker III or early Pueblo I component should be investigated. The combination of early and late Pueblo I occupations can result in a collection whose contents resemble that of a middle Pueblo I occupation, but there will be enough discrepancies in content to raise a red flag if the collection is carefully compared with the expected patterns. This doesn't mean that all discrepancies and variability should be interpreted in terms of time periods (site function can influence typological content of collections), but temporal explanations are a good starting place.

One limitation of this technique is sample size. Small collection sizes limit dating inferences by interjecting a significant amount of sampling error. This doesn't mean that date estimates cannot be made, just that the precision possible with small collections will be relatively poor. The crucial question is, Is the absence of a type from this collection due to its absence at the site, or is it simply rare enough that the collection missed it by chance alone? No pre-set sample size will be adequate to cope with all occasions, and the best results occur when the field observer senses that something appears to be amiss and that samples need to be augmented or that collections need to be made from different portions of a site to sort out possible multiple components. Since the distinctiveness of time periods differs, a collection size of at least 400 sherds may be necessary to distinguish an A.D. 860-880 from an A.D. 880-910 occupation, whereas 100 sherds would usually be sufficient to distinguish an A.D. 775-825 from an A.D. 825-860 occupation. Whenever multiple components are suspected, sample sizes must be increased if their detection is to be made with any confidence.

The currently distinguishable dating periods defined for the Mesa Verde region, particularly the Montezuma and Dolores valleys, include the following: